Wednesday, February 16, 2011

Ballywood II: A Trade

I like to make at least one trade early on. The strategic reason is that I want to receive trade offers and how better to encourage them than to accept a trade? As a bonus reason, Liriano and Heyward rank highly as my personal fanboy favorites and I got them.

According to Yahoo, I did not win this trade. According to Razzball, I did. Here is why.

I believe Francisco Liriano and Jayson Heyward will have better roto numbers in 2011 than in 2010. Liriano gave up a very high batting average on balls in play indicating poor luck. With average luck and the same performance, Liriano's stats will look better. Heyward was a rookie in 2010 and will be one year better. Razzball aggressively projects Liriano and Heyward. Yahoo, with their past year actual rankings easily accessible in their trade software dialog box, tends to highlight actual past roto performance over projections and potential.

The players I gave up were Adam Dunn, whose average concerned me, and Cole Hamels, whose park concerned me. (A nice thing about drafting extra from a shallow position like first base is that everyone wants your players.) Dunn and Hamels are quite comparable if not better than the players I received. I am not saying I won this trade. But, it made me happy, and maybe I will be offered future trades to help my team.

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