Thursday, July 26, 2007

Projections

Even though the trade didn't happen, today's team is different from the pre-season team. Amazingly, Jason Bay was available for free.

Bashibashi:
Position, Average Yahoo Draft Position, Draft round, overall pick number and Yahoo 2007 rank to date
C 51.2 4. (48) Brian McCann (263)
1B 1.2 1. (1) Albert Pujols (26)
2B 56.9 5. (49) Brian Roberts (39)
3B 217.7 17. (198) B. J. Upton 3B, 2B, OF (free agent claim 4/1/07) (122)
SS 27.8 3. (25) Jimmy Rollins (6)
OF 28.8 2. (24) Matt Holliday (8)
OF 27.2 2. (21) Jason Bay (130) (waiver claim for 7/28/07)
OF 165.7 15. (169) Barry Bonds (94)
UTL 99.8 7. (73) Todd Helton 1B (143)
bench 117.8 12. (139) Nick Swisher 1B/OF (free agent claim 7/11/07) (204)
bench 68.9 6. (70) Ryan Zimmerman 3B (trade 5/3/07 for Taveras/Al Reyes) (154)

SP 69.9 6. (72) Félix Hernández (610)
SP ---- Yovani Gallardo (waiver claim 5/27/07) (183)
SP ---- Tim Lincecum (free agent claim 4/24/07) (166)
SP 132 8. (96) Roger Clemens SP (259)
SP 144.7 10. (120) Rich Hill SP (131)
SP ---- James Shields (waiver claim 6/2/07) (169)
DL 75.9 8. (90) Ben Sheets (trade 7/13/07 for Wickman/Capps) SP (93)
DL 165.1 ---- Pedro Martinez SP (free agent claim 7/2/07) (---)

RP 85.6 9. (97) Jonathan Papelbon (63)
RP ---- Joakim Soria (free agent claim 7/20/07) (128)
RP ---- Danys Baez (free agent claim 7/26/07) (745)


Current Bashibashi results:
R HR RBI SB AVG W SV K ERA WHIP
528 136 498 72 .289 39 87 704 3.77 1.22
Future Projection:
366 88 324 59 .295
Sum/2007 Total Batting Projection:
894 224 823 131 .292

Current Status:
League Leading: SV
Top 4: R, HR, RBI, SB, AVG, K, WHIP
Middle of the Pack/Need to Improve: W, ERA

In the pre-season Bill James said:
860 R, 215 HR, 757 RBI, 127 SB, .299 AVG, 84 W, 59 SV, 1300 IP (1250 max.), 3.37 ERA, 1219 K, 1.15 WHIP

An average of five guesses, four projections plus ESPN said:
825 R, 196 HR, 696 RBI, 129 SB, .297 AVG , 76 W, 66 SV, 1187 IP, 3.85 ERA, 1011 K, 1.18 WHIP

I said:
Probable League Leading: R, AVG, K, WHIP
Possible League Leading: ERA
Middle of the Pack: HR, RBI, SB
Need to Improve: W, SV

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